Epsom Oaks Stride Analysis - Key Trials Distance Prediction

Epsom Oaks Stride Analysis – Key Trial Predictions

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Which fillies will be most effective at the Oaks distance of twelve furlongs?

This page covers the 2026 Epsom Oaks stride analysis — applying the StridePredictor 3yo and 2yo→3yo forecast models to the key trials, with predicted distances for the leading contenders from this spring’s 3yo trials and last season’s key juvenile races.

Epsom Oaks Stride Analysis by Trial

3yo Current Model — R² 80.3%

Weatherbys Cheshire Oaks — Listed — Chester, Good, 1m 3f 75y, 3yo fillies

Pace — LOW CONFIDENCE

PosHorsePredicted Distance
1stAmelia Earhart11.9f
2ndI’m The One11.5f
3rdA La Prochaine14.6f
4thSugar Island11.0f
5thWinged One10.8f

Betfred 1,000 Guineas Stakes — Group 1 — Newmarket, Good to Firm, 1m, 3yo fillies

Pace — LOW CONFIDENCE

PosHorsePredicted Distance
1stTrue Love7.3f
2ndEvolutionist6.8f
3rdVenetian Lace7.2f
4thThe Prettiest Star7.9f
5thAbashiri8.4f
6thTouleen7.6f
7thPrecise7.2f
8thSpicy Marg7.1f
9thMy Highness7.5f
10thRose Ghaiyyath7.4f
11thVenetian Sun7.0f
12thInis Mor7.4f
13thTrue Test7.2f
14thSilenciosa7.4f
15thMubasimah6.8f
16thTimeforshowcasing7.1f
17thDarn Hot Gallop6.7f
18thDomina Ignis6.4f
19thAzleet7.0f

Tattersalls Irish 1,000 Guineas — Group 1 — Curragh, Good, 1m, 3yo fillies

Pace — MODERATE CONFIDENCE

PosHorsePredicted Distance
1stPrecise7.9f
2ndTrue Love8.6f
3rdAbashiri10.0f
4thBlack Caviar Gold7.7f
5thKensington Lane8.2f
6thBeautify7.3f
7thSinmara8.2f
8thPivotal Attack8.0f
9thHope Queen7.0f
10thMagny Cours7.2f
11thSukanya8.0f

Tattersalls Musidora Stakes — Group 3 — York, Good, 1m 2f 56y, 3yo fillies

Pace — HIGH CONFIDENCE

PosHorsePredicted Distance
1stLegacy Link9.7f
2ndFelicitas11.6f
3rdK Sarra9.2f
4thMoments Of Joy10.9f
5thSea The Storm10.4f

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Salsabil Stakes — Group 3 — Navan, Good to Yielding, 1m 2f 40y, 3yo fillies

Pace — TBC

PosHorsePredicted Distance
1stThundering On9.4f
2ndEmmeleia9.4f
3rdBloom9.9f
4thChasing Paradise11.4f
5thCamino Vino10.5f
6thMinerva9.6f
7thIce Dancer9.4f

William Hill Oaks Trial Fillies’ Stakes — Listed — Lingfield, Good to Firm (Good in Places), 1m 3f 133y, 3yo fillies

Pace — GOOD CONFIDENCE

PosHorsePredicted Distance
1stCameo11.8f
2ndPrizeland9.4f
3rdBloom10.7f
4thRomantic Symphony10.4f
5thAmora Queen11.3f

Fitzdares Height of Fashion Stakes — Listed — Goodwood, Good, 1m 1f 197y, 3yo fillies

Pace — LOW CONFIDENCE

PosHorsePredicted Distance
1stInis Mor10.9f
2ndEarth Shot12.0f
3rdOn Message10.9f
4thDella Pace10.5f
5thBrilliant Star12.8f
6thClassic Cuvee11.5f
7thJust Call Me Angel11.6f
8thWinged One10.3f

The following tab uses the 2yo→3yo forecast model, applied to last season's key juvenile race.

2yo→3yo Forecast Model — R² 79.6%

Bet365 Fillies’ Mile — Group 1 — Newmarket, Good (Good to Firm in places), 1m, 2yo fillies, 10 October 2025

Pace — HIGH CONFIDENCE

PosHorsePredicted Distance
1stPrecise8.3f
2ndVenetian Lace8.5f
3rdEvolutionist8.1f
4thLegacy Link7.9f
5thMoments Of Joy8.3f
6thComposing10.0f
7thDance To The Music7.9f
8thMoon Target8.2f
9thSugar Island8.0f
10thAmora Queen8.6f

Predictions on this page reflect the latest model iterations. Where a horse appears on earlier StridePredictor pages, minor differences in predicted distance may occur as models are updated with expanded training data. The predictions here supersede earlier estimates.